Guinea's foreign ties will ease pressure on junta

Significance

Adverse weather and a heavy military presence in the streets may have deterred protests in a context where demonstrations are banned. Meanwhile, despite the prevailing repressive environment, the junta’s failure to meet transitional deadlines and a number of high-profile deaths and forced disappearances, Guinea’s international partners have largely avoided harsh criticisms or strong pressure on the junta.

Impacts

• Authorities may seek to end a number of tax exemptions, including in the mining sector, to raise revenues.
• Fuel shortages may persist in the coming year, in part due to the time needed to build new fuel depots.
• A planned constitutional referendum may be delayed until next year.