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Venezuela cabinet reshuffle points up Maduro weakness

Thursday, September 5, 2024

Significance

With the backing of the Supreme Court, which confirmed his electoral victory with 52% of the vote, Maduro is pressing on, putting the disputed presidential election behind him and preparing for a third term in office. The appointments are uninspiring, an exercise in recycling the established elites of the ruling party.

Impacts

  • The cabinet reshuffle signals Maduro’s weakness and reliance on key ruling party and military elites.
  • The new Oil Ministry and PDVSA team will not boost investor confidence, even among companies accustomed to working in hostile environments.
  • Hemispheric neighbours including the United States, Brazil and Colombia have limited capacity to influence and intervene.

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