Prolonged uncertainty will challenge automakers

Significance

In parallel, amid rising tariffs and regulatory uncertainty, automotive firms are having to place bets on new technologies, supplier relationships and business models that will determine the future of the industry and its transition to zero-emission vehicles.

Impacts

• Tight financial conditions, overcapacity, protectionism and the possible loss of purchasing incentives are disrupting the EV market.
• Restructuring will rise as OEMs cut unprofitable products and supply dependencies, and consolidate through greater vertical integration.
• Curbs on EV imports from China will not erode Chinese-made EV sales, or China’s battery dominance, and will harm OEMs shipping from China.