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The UN will struggle with Libyan unification efforts

Thursday, May 11, 2023

Significance

In February, Bathily announced a new initiative to hold parliamentary and presidential elections, which he is pushing to take place this year to end the political stalemate.

Impacts

  • The UN and its Libya support mission could gradually lose credibility among the Libyan public if another initiative fails.
  • The Russian paramilitary Wagner Group is likely banking on a failure of international efforts to dislodge it from positions in Libya.
  • Egypt will use its influence and ties with Libyan groups to contain the cross-border impact of the Sudanese conflict.

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