Tensions will increase in Dutch government

Significance

The party campaigned strongly against the government’s plans to halve nitrogen emissions by 2030. The four coalition parties -- Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD), Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA), Christian Union (CU), and Democrats 66 (D66) -- all suffered losses. The provincial governments will elect the country’s Senate, which can reject government legislation, in May.

Impacts

• BBB’s rapid rise could expose the party’s lack of experience and organisation, with a consequent loss of support.
• If CDA withdraws support from government, an early election is the most likely outcome.
• Pushback over nitrogen emissions reduction targets could spread to neighbouring countries, such as Germany.