Bolivia unrest will dwindle without broader support

Significance

Camacho has long offered leadership to movements that seek greater autonomy from La Paz. His arrest has given rise to violent protests in the east of the country and blockades on major roads.

Impacts

• Business groups in Santa Cruz will provide only muted support for Camacho.
• Further issues will appear that pitch civic groups in Santa Cruz against the central government.
• Divergences within the ruling MAS are likely to deepen as the 2025 elections approach.