The attacks illustrate broader security threats facing the national and state-level elections in February and March, respectively. These include separatism, widespread banditry, jihadist insurgencies and militant activities in areas such as the Niger Delta.
- Large-scale military and police deployments are likely in vulnerable zones.
- The current dry season will improve insurgent mobility in some areas, making attacks more likely.
- Lower voter turnout in the south-east could harm Peter Obi's presidential campaign.
- Political party-related violence may intensify in the run-up to the polls.