Bolivia census tensions will remain localised

Significance

Resource distribution by central government and the allocation of seats in the legislature both depend on the census results. Santa Cruz's population is believed to be rising fast, so it could expect a larger share. Santa Cruz's right-wing governor, Luis Fernando Camacho, is using the issue to galvanise opposition to President Luis Arce's government.

Impacts

• The census is likely to show that Santa Cruz's population is continuing to rise rapidly.
• The government will maintain a cautious approach to Camacho while he occupies an important elective office.
• Camacho will find it difficult to build support outside Santa Cruz.