To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below:

Libyans are preparing for new phase of conflict

Wednesday, June 1, 2022


The Cairo talks potentially represent the last chance for a deal between eastern and western factions, and their respective foreign backers. In late June, the current roadmaps will expire, offering the prospect of a political re-set. Both sides view this as an opportunity to advance their control.


  • Libya’s oil exports will continue to be a bargaining chip in the political competition.
  • Oil closures and blocks on releasing proceeds from sales will help prolong Europe’s energy crisis.
  • If the UN mediation fails, the UN will likely lose relevance and will be overtaken by bilateral initiatives and the plans of Libyan actors.

Related articles

Expert Briefings logo
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.