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United States and EU have little time to save Bosnia

Monday, November 22, 2021

Significance

His visit is part of a flurry of belated Western diplomacy to secure agreement on reforms, the lack of which has driven Bosnia’s recently escalating crisis. Success would demonstrate Western influence and BiH politicians’ willingness to pull Bosnia back from the brink.

Impacts

  • Unilateral withdrawal from legally constituted state-level institutions would amount to partial if not official or legal separation.
  • The main Bosnian Croat party has threatened to leave the state parliament by year-end if there is no agreement on electoral reform.
  • Dodik’s plan, if implemented, could lead to conflict drawing in Croatia, Serbia and even Russia, Turkey and other Muslim countries.
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