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Bolivia’s opposition may struggle to gain traction

Wednesday, October 27, 2021


The response has been patchy, with protests most evident in Santa Cruz. Opponents of the ruling Movement towards Socialism (MAS) have long had difficulties in achieving common cause and in building a broad social and geographical coalition.


  • Opposition-controlled social movements lack the force to challenge the government seriously.
  • The government will exploit the divisions between its opponents with some success.
  • The government will retain much of the legitimacy it won in the 2020 elections.
  • Threats of judicial action against Camacho would exacerbate tensions between La Paz and Santa Cruz.
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