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Separatists threaten Nigeria ruling party's chances

Friday, September 17, 2021

Significance

He was greeted with a ‘sit at home’ protest by the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB). Although crowds appeared at some events, the protest appears to have been a success, illustrating the increasing support garnered by the Igbo separatist movement in the region. To this can be added growing Yoruba separatist sentiment in south-western Nigeria following continued farmer-herder conflicts and state repression.

Impacts

  • Kanu and Igboho’s continued incarceration will further inflame anti-government sentiment.
  • Buhari’s government will make few, if any, concessions to separatist sentiment.
  • The cycle of sporadic protest and violence followed by violent government crackdowns will continue.
  • Separatist sentiment will be strengthened by continuing farmer-herder conflict at the national level.
  • Buhari’s harsh response to separatist threats will threaten the ruling All Progressives Congress party’s chances in the 2023 election.
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