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Mozambique’s northern conflict will enter new phase

Friday, July 23, 2021


The troops arrived amid delays in the deployment of a planned Southern African Development Community (SADC) intervention force and uncertainties over how the different military initiatives will align.


  • Foreign military intervention and investments in counter-insurgency will reinforce the ruling FRELIMO party.
  • Factional infighting within FRELIMO over who should succeed President Felipe Nyusi will increase.
  • The peace process with RENAMO risks unravelling unless renewed progress can be made quickly.

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