This has put Salvini under pressure, though it has not weakened his support for Prime Minister Mario Draghi’s government of national unity. Support for Draghi suggests the League is becoming a more moderate party, which could help FdI consolidate support on the far right ahead of the next election, currently scheduled for 2023.
- The prospects of an amalgamation between the League and Forza Italia are strong, and would boost the former’s centrist credentials.
- While Five Star Movement support for Draghi is unreliable, its MPs do not want a general election as many of them would lose their seats.
- An unforeseen crisis, such as an uncontrollable wave of illegal migrants, would play into the hands of the right-wing parties.