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Tokyo election outcome weakens Suga's prospects

Thursday, July 15, 2021

Significance

Instead, the party scored its second-worst election performance ever.

Impacts

  • The small female share of LDP candidates elected in Tokyo makes the government's promise to promote women in politics look hollow.
  • Tokyo Governor Koike and her Tomin First party retain enough influence in Tokyo to frustrate national government policy.
  • If Suga is forced to resign, the leading potential successors are Toshimitsu Motegi, Fumio Kishida and Taro Kono.

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