Tokyo election outcome weakens Suga's prospects

Significance

Instead, the party scored its second-worst election performance ever.

Impacts

• The small female share of LDP candidates elected in Tokyo makes the government's promise to promote women in politics look hollow.
• Tokyo Governor Koike and her Tomin First party retain enough influence in Tokyo to frustrate national government policy.
• If Suga is forced to resign, the leading potential successors are Toshimitsu Motegi, Fumio Kishida and Taro Kono.