Uganda reshuffles will not defuse political crisis

Significance

Although the changes follow old patterns developed during Museveni’s more than three decades in power, they also underscore growing anxieties about rising opposition to his rule and signal fresh efforts to contain these threats.

Impacts

• The overexpansion of government to accommodate various interests means many positions are merely ceremonial.
• The question of who will succeed Museveni atop the NRM could prove a major flashpoint issue undermining party unity.
• Ongoing challenges in managing the COVID-19 pandemic will amplify public discontent with Museveni’s rule.