To read this content please select one of the options below:

Saudi Arabia will hold back from the Lebanese morass

Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Significance

Long-term patron Riyadh has become increasing impatient with Beirut in recent years, largely because of the growing dominance of Tehran-linked factions. This year, Saudi Arabia has also been angered by a sharp influx of amphetamine pills smuggled via an increasingly dysfunctional Lebanon.

Impacts

  • If Hezbollah were weakened or a Saudi-Iranian-Syrian rapprochement changed the regional environment, Riyadh could return.
  • A new ‘technocratic’ government promising structural changes might entice more Gulf countries to reinvest in Lebanon.
  • Disillusioned with premier-designate Saad al-Hariri, Riyadh may pick a new Sunni leader to favour, perhaps Hariri's older brother Bahaa.

Related articles

Expert Briefings logo
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.