Combined with ongoing trends (such as digitalisation), existing problems (such as institutional corruption and drug trafficking) and new policy directions (including the green transition), lockdown measures and post-pandemic recovery strategies are accelerating illicit market linkage and change. The continent is facing significant and unprecedented challenges.
- Successful takedowns in a context of ad hoc crime structures will drive illicit market diversification, innovation and violence.
- European restrictions on raw plant materials from elsewhere will spur manufacture of synthetic drugs and local cannabis cultivation.
- London will maintain ties with Europol but loose access to the Schengen Information System will complicate law enforcement cooperation.