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Mexico election results will impede any major reforms

Friday, June 11, 2021

Significance

President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO)'s ruling National Regeneration Movement (Morena) succeeded, with its allies, in retaining a majority of seats in the lower house of Congress. It nevertheless lost the two-thirds majority it held previously. Morena appears to have won eleven of 15 gubernatorial elections, meaning it will govern half of Mexico’s states.

Impacts

  • As counting ends and appeals are addressed, some results will change, but this will not undermine the elections’ legitimacy.
  • Morena will continue criticising the election body but will struggle to alter electoral laws in ways that could undermine its independence.
  • Morena and its allies will easily pass the 2022 budget, which requires only an absolute majority of congressional votes.

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