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Belarusian leader's actions reduce his options

Tuesday, June 8, 2021

Significance

Western states have refocused attention on Belarus in the wake of the Ryanair plane diversion, and Lukashenka has responded with increasing hostility.

Impacts

  • Tsikhanouskaya will remain the personification of the protest movement, sustaining its lobbying presence in EU states.
  • Lithuania and Poland will try to sustain the EU's focus on Belarus and stiffen its resolve.
  • Minsk's curbs on the US diplomatic presence create practical obstacles to engagement.

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