Although the Deal mostly comprises general and incoherent promises, it is the only serious plan for the near future in the public debate. This gives the ruling coalition a chance to bounce back after 2020, when its approval rating fell from 47% to 30%, and to plunge the opposition into a new crisis.
- Junior ZP coalition partners could find themselves at a disadvantage if senior partner PiS gains popularity and has less need of them.
- Among the parliamentary opposition, KO is especially vulnerable, losing ground to the Poland 2050 party.
- Tax changes will generate a new demand stimulus, but the new programme may have a negative impact on the propensity to invest.