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New Venezuela talks bring hope of gradual progress

Thursday, June 3, 2021

Significance

Norwegian-led dialogue efforts are an opportunity for Maduro and Guaido to navigate the lifting of devastating US economic sanctions and a long-term electoral opening.

Impacts

  • Broader involvement including civil society groups would help overcome acute polarity and improve ‘buy in’ to any potential agreement.
  • The new US government will strengthen Venezuelan opposition groups that emphasise electoral participation over abstention and regime change.
  • Norway will aim to shield the talks from the leaks, irreconcilable demands and partisan media mobilisation that eroded previous processes.

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