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Far-right Fratelli could lead Italy's next government

Tuesday, May 25, 2021


Meloni has benefited from the declining support for Silvio Berlusconi’s Forza Italia and Matteo Salvini’s League, and more recently the fact that FdI is the only parliamentary party not supporting Prime Minister Mario Draghi’s technocratic government.


  • Deepening north-south inequality would play into the hands of FdI, which has stronger roots in southern Italy.
  • Despite declining support in the polls, Salvini is unlikely to withdraw support for the government before 2022.
  • With Draghi in power, Italy’s influence on fiscal reforms at the EU level will be stronger.

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