Pandemic, politics and protests will roil Tunisia

Significance

The impasse, which leaves Tunisia without a fully functioning government, is taking place against a backdrop of mounting popular protests over worsening economic conditions, the COVID-19 pandemic and other social crises. Ten years after the Arab Spring, Tunisia has established a flawed democracy but has failed to deliver better jobs and living conditions.

Impacts

• Social instability will fuel more illegal migration to Europe.
• Spending cuts amid wider social turmoil will pressure wide sections of society, making sustained instances of protests and unrest likely.
• Social strain will lead to higher levels of criminality and violence.