Uganda’s opposition will gain ground despite poll loss

Significance

The opposition has rejected the results and is preparing legal challenges to Museveni’s victory.

Impacts

• NRM internal cohesion will fray as Museveni becomes a more polarising figure in national politics.
• The NRM will increasingly try to co-opt opponents to neutralise the growing momentum and collaboration among opposition parties.
• The government will likely launch developmental efforts to tackle youth unemployment and thus avert unrest.