New law threatens democracy in Nicaragua

Significance

The legislation has been denounced by the opposition, which claims its provisions could be used to prevent particular individuals from standing for office. The law, in conjunction with several others approved recently, appears to be an attempt by the ruling Frente Sandinista de Liberacion Nacional (Sandinista National Liberation Front, FSLN) to crack down on opponents ahead of November’s general elections.

Impacts

• Incoming US President Joe Biden will maintain economic pressure on the government alongside a renewed push for diplomatic engagement.
• The successful acquisition and rollout of COVID-19 vaccines will be a key test for the government and could greatly affect its popularity.
• Any moves to bar opposition political parties would spark a domestic and international outcry, risking renewed unrest.