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Restructuring Libya's oil guards will take years

Monday, December 21, 2020

Significance

Short-term reunification of the PFG, which split as a result of the national power struggle, could help streamline current operations, but it is only the first step towards the long-term challenge of creating a viable and professional force.

Impacts

  • Without a functional protection force, Libya’s hydrocarbon sector will stay vulnerable to sabotage and attacks, including by Islamic State.
  • Russian private military personnel are guarding oil facilities in eastern Libya, raising concerns for Libyan sovereignty.
  • An effective PFG is key to Libya reaching its full oil production potential, which is vital to the development of its oil-dependent economy.
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