Mexico-US relations to remain challenging under Biden

Significance

Arguing that to do so before the result becomes official on December 14 would be premature, AMLO has rejected claims that his silence is tantamount to endorsing President Donald Trump’s allegations of election fraud and that it could sour relations with the incoming administration.

Impacts

• Biden’s presidency will be broadly welcomed in Mexico, with less hostile rhetoric facilitating friendly relations.
• The need to control the spread of COVID-19 will define some elements of the bilateral relationship in the short term.
• Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard will continue to lead the bilateral relationship, while AMLO maintains his focus on domestic matters.
• Tensions may rise as the 2021 elections near, if AMLO is viewed by Washington as undermining democratic norms.