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Turkey will continue destabilising east Mediterranean

Monday, August 17, 2020

Significance

They discussed tensions in the eastern Mediterranean with regard to Turkish seabed prospecting off the Greek island of Kastellorizo, but could come up only with a statement about working to ease tensions. Turkey is unlikely to back down, despite a formidable array of international adversaries in the region.

Impacts

  • Germany will oppose the EU sanctions against Turkey sought by France and Greece.
  • Confrontation over Cyprus will revive.
  • Turkey will ignore Israeli and Egyptian demarcation of undersea gas fields.
  • Ankara will assist the GNA government in Libya to conduct prospecting.
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