London will find more traction in Islamabad than Delhi

Significance

Prominent FCO Minister Tariq Ahmad earlier this month visited India. Meanwhile, contention over a Brexit settlement with the EU has raised the prospect of an imminent UK general election, when the ruling Conservative party will face a tough challenge from opposition parties such as Labour.

Impacts

• Islamabad will press London to support its interests in Washington.
• Delhi will largely ignore London in formulating its foreign policy.
• An outbreak of hostilities between India and Pakistan would likely prompt tense protests involving diasporic groups in the United Kingdom.