Working-class vote could determine UK election

Subject

UK election outlook.

Significance

If not this year, a general election will definitely take place in 2020. The working-class vote is less predictable than it has been in a long time. Parties' ability to adapt their positions to reflect working-class concerns could prove vital in determining the election outcome.

Impacts

• An election during a Brexit extension would increase the chances of a hung parliament.
• If Brexit happens, the Brexit Party and Liberal Democrats will continue to play a very important role in UK politics.
• If London refuses to grant Scotland an independence referendum, Scottish nationalists may pursue a unilateral approach.