Jihadist terrorism in the past year.
Developments in terrorist groups in the past year were marked by Islamic State (IS)’s military 'defeat' in Syria and, in parallel, expansion into South-east Asia and West Africa via the emergence of new ‘provinces’; al-Qaida (AQ)’s consolidation and growing capabilities via opportunistic local collaborations; and concerns over Jemaah Islamiyah (JI)’s resurgence in Indonesia.
- Targeting of places of worship in South-east Asia may become an entrenched trend.
- AQIM will keep trying to exploit socio-political grievances in the Maghreb region and Mali.
- Despite its losses, IS has more money, better media profile and more combat experience than AQ.