Tuesday, August 6, 2019
The informal dialogue normally acts as a pressure valve for major powers in the Asia-Pacific, but this meeting perhaps unintentionally worsened US-China trade and security tensions, US-North Korea denuclearisation-related frictions and the Japan-South Korea controversy over war reparations, since the meeting came in a week of occurrences that denoted high regional tension.
- Washington will still need Chinese (and other countries’) support in its rapprochement push with North Korea.
- Washington will expand cooperation with fellow Quad countries Australia, India and Japan in the Asia-Pacific.
- Involvement of out-of-region states and high-profile international issues could weaken ASEAN efficiency in tackling ASEAN issues.
- This ARF meeting will help warm US-Thai relations, with further such moves likely at the East Asia Summit this November, also in Thailand.