Kim-Trump meeting presages US climbdown

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Subject

The outlook for North Korea-US denuclearisation talks.

Significance

On June 30, President Donald Trump used a long-planned trip to South Korea after the G20 summit in Osaka to visit the Demilitarised Zone (DMZ), for his third meeting in barely a year with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un.

Impacts

  • Working talks will resume, but progress may depend on Pyongyang gaining partial sanctions relief.
  • Inter-Korean relations will likely remain stalled unless sanctions are eased.
  • The peninsula has not become risk-free; Kim may miscalculate or hardliners could push for policies even Trump cannot accept.
  • Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe seeks his own summit with Kim; Kim has scant incentive to grant one.
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica
Stay up to date
Sign up to the Expert Daily Briefings email alert and receive up-to-the-minute analysis of global events as they happen.
*If your university does not have access to Expert Briefings, visit our information page to find out more.
To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below
You may be able to access this content by logging in via Shibboleth, Open Athens or with your Emerald account.
Would you like to purchase this content for your university? Click the button to visit our Expert Briefing product page for purchasing information.
If you think you should have access to this content, click the button to contact our support team.