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Protest success will embolden Hongkongers

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Subject

Mass protests in Hong Kong.

Significance

Chief Executive Carrie Lam has agreed to shelve a bill to allow extradition from Hong Kong to mainland China, after a wave of huge street protests. The bill’s opponents argued that it would erode Hong Kong’s judicial independence and could be used to prosecute critics of the Beijing government.

Impacts

  • China will sometimes handle political enemies in Hong Kong through extra-judicial detentions.
  • Lam will be a much-damaged leader and lawmakers of both political camps will feel emboldened to challenge her initiatives.
  • Lam is unlikely to resign unless Beijing weighs in, which would happen behind closed doors.
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