Honduras protests to dog the rest of Hernandez’s term

Significance

Demonstrations, which are still ongoing, are disrupting business operations and putting increased pressure on President Juan Orlando Hernandez, who is also facing a backlash due to corruption suspicions.

Impacts

• Efforts to reach an agreement with the unions have exposed splits within the PDSE movement, reducing the likelihood of a lasting deal.
• Anti-corruption movements in neighbouring countries such as Guatemala may embolden protesters.
• Hernandez, however encouraged by Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega’s success in subduing protests, is unlikely to follow his strategies.
• Sustained political unrest could drive more outward migration, compounding the challenges facing Mexico in handling migrant caravans.