Libya’s Haftar may use Egypt ties to bolster his power

Significance

Both have refused to reconcile fully with the internationally-recognised national government in Tripoli, the Government of National Accord (GNA), led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Serraj. Relations between Egypt and Libya have important economic and security dimensions but suffered during the rule of former Libyan leader Muammar al-Qadhafi (in power 1969-2011).

Impacts

• Trade and economic activity between Egypt and Libya will grow, despite Libya’s political troubles.
• A significant deterioration in security along the Egyptian-Libyan border is unlikely.
• Qatar and Turkey may yet make new efforts to counterbalance Egypt’s approach in Libya.