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Disjointed initiatives to hobble Libya peace progress

Friday, September 22, 2017

Significance

International diplomacy over the Libyan conflict slowed this year. This was partly the result of Russian-US disagreement over selecting a new UN envoy, and the waning influence of outgoing envoy Martin Kobler. However, it also reflected continuing disunity in policies towards Libya.

Impacts

  • Internal challenges to the GNA and Serraj’s leadership may emerge.
  • Libya’s economy will continue to weather the current depreciation and liquidity difficulties.
  • Fighting will remain limited and confined to small areas.
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