Friday, September 22, 2017
International diplomacy over the Libyan conflict slowed this year. This was partly the result of Russian-US disagreement over selecting a new UN envoy, and the waning influence of outgoing envoy Martin Kobler. However, it also reflected continuing disunity in policies towards Libya.
- Internal challenges to the GNA and Serraj’s leadership may emerge.
- Libya’s economy will continue to weather the current depreciation and liquidity difficulties.
- Fighting will remain limited and confined to small areas.