Wednesday, September 13, 2017
Boko Haram violence affects thousands of people in Nigeria and neighbouring countries. The group appeared to be close to defeat in 2015, but violence has increased in recent months amid a factional split that increases rather than reduces the threat.
- The Boko Haram crisis will not fundamentally affect Nigeria's electoral politics in the lead-up to the 2019 poll.
- The regional humanitarian crisis will likely worsen further, with internally displaced persons (IDP) camps frequent targets of attack.
- Growing violence is nonetheless unlikely to disrupt life in Nigeria’s political and economic centres, such as Abuja and Lagos.