Friday, August 11, 2017
As low-intensity fighting continues, neither Armenia nor Azerbaijan is ready to make concessions to facilitate a settlement determining whether Karabakh gains independence or reverts to Azerbaijan. Russia is supplying weapons to both sides: a short-range missile system to Armenia last year and additional anti-tank missiles for Azerbaijan this June.
- Russia's arms sales will create suspicion of its motives in both Armenia and Azerbaijan.
- Armenian leaders realise they have no option but to maintain defence ties with Moscow.
- Azerbaijan is likely to diversify its sources of arms imports to escape excessive reliance on Russia.