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Martial law call could threaten Philippines’ Duterte

Thursday, May 25, 2017

Significance

He has now introduced martial law to Mindanao and confirmed yesterday that habeas corpus had also been suspended on the island.

Impacts

  • Internal security risks will likely delay or halt Mindanao investment pledges.
  • This could hit Duterte’s development aims and dent his support in his Mindanao political heartland.
  • The Philippines will seek Russian investment especially in tourism, energy, infrastructure and transport.
  • Philippines-Russia trade will likely expand but this will be a long-term process, as will trade diversification.
  • Retaliating against martial law, the New People's Army will conduct more attacks, underming the government-communist peace process.
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