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Thai security outlook varies regionally

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Significance

The attack occurred on the third anniversary of the 2014 military coup. Both the hospital bombing and a spike in violence in the southern insurgency point to a deterioration in national security.

Impacts

  • The junta will use the recent violence to step up its crackdown on dissidents.
  • The new Computer Crime Act that comes into effect this week could be used in a new purge of online dissidents.
  • Recent export growth will provide an economic boost over the next six months, easing some political pressure on the junta.
  • However, further attacks on the capital could prevent a rebound in private investment, which has been weakening since the start of 2016.
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