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Nigeria's ruling party will speed up post-Buhari plans

Tuesday, May 2, 2017

Significance

Buhari’s multiple and prolonged absences -- including one that lasted 49 days -- have weakened his hold on his All Progressives Congress (APC). The 74-year-old has made several extended visits to the United Kingdom for medical treatment, which have undermined his ability to unify an increasingly fractious party.

Impacts

  • The new US administration will increase military support for counter-insurgency operations against Boko Haram despite humanitarian concerns.
  • Buhari’s perceived neglect of the east and the Niger Delta could foster more resentment and secession calls from ethnic Igbos.
  • Increased repression against pro-Biafra groups could radicalise them, driving them into more confrontational or even violent tactics.
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