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Early UK vote is set to bolster May’s mandate

Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Significance

This move came as a surprise, as the prime minister had previously repeatedly denied that she was even contemplating such a step.

Impacts

  • A larger Conservative majority could leave May less dependent on backbench hardcore Brexiteers, possibly giving her more flexibility.
  • Delaying the following general election until 2022 buys May time for a transitional agreement and a cliff-edge exit becomes less likely.
  • The prospect of a Conservative UK government ruling with an increased majority till 2022 will bolster support for Scottish independence.
  • The election will delay the start of the Brexit negotiations by one month.

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