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China visit will begin Philippines' policy shift

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Significance

On October 20, China's Vice Foreign Minister Liu Zhenmin declared the "full recovery" of bilateral ties.

Impacts

  • Japan will be under pressure to respond with additional infrastructure assistance to the Philippines.
  • Tourism opportunities will grow, increasing demand for flights, notably between China and the southern Philippines.
  • China-Philippines frictions over the South China Sea may ease, if talks progress effectively.
  • Duterte could face domestic political pushback for warming China ties and cooling Washington links.

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