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Eastern EU members hedge bets after Brexit vote

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Subject

Reactions to Brexit among eastern EU member states.

Significance

Leaders of the Visegrad Group (V4) of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia have called for a major institutional overhaul of the EU following the UK vote to leave the EU ('Brexit'). They singled out the EU's handling of the migration crisis as a key factor behind the 'Leave' victory in the UK referendum, and rejected calls from Brussels and several member states for closer integration, instead demanding that powers be repatriated to national capitals to restore citizens' trust and make the EU more democratically accountable.

Impacts

  • The V4 will seek to mend relations with Berlin, in the relatively favourable political constellation in Germany before the 2017 elections.
  • V4 governments will aim to hold 'mini-lateral' consultations with the United Kingdom on the terms of its planned exit from the EU.
  • Brexit will dominate Slovakia's EU presidency, with V4 coordinating their responses to help limit the negative fallout for the region.

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