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Gains and risks will follow ASEAN-US summit

Monday, February 22, 2016

Subject

Outcomes of the ASEAN-US summit.

Significance

ASEAN and US leaders held a landmark summit in California between February 15-16.

Impacts

  • As ASEAN chair, Laos will be cautious on maritime issues, to Beijing's appreciation.
  • There are unlikely to be new South-east Asian TPP members soon.
  • Vietnam-US ties will deepen with Obama's coming visit to Vietnam.
  • US pressure on Thailand to return to democracy will grow, and be a thorn in relations until then.
  • Washington will encourage Myanmar to resolve Rohingya controversies, but this could see Myanmar domestic instability.

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