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Al-Qaida's local branch set to dominate Syria rebels

Content type:
Expert Briefings
Location:
SYRIA
Keywords associated with this article:
Geographic: Syria ME/NAF Lebanon Qatar Turkey United States
Topical: politics civil war guerrillas security terrorism
ISSN:
2633-304X
Citation:

Oxford Analytica (2015), "Al-Qaida's local branch set to dominate Syria rebels", Expert Briefings.

https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB199433
Thursday, May 7, 2015

JaN's standing among the Syrian rebel movement has been bolstered by a series of major strategic wins against the regime in north western Syria. The capture of Idlib city and Jisr al-Shughur have given the group and its allies control of Idlib province and provided a strategic vantage point for the group to extend their control in the north and challenge the regime in its Alawi heartland on the coast. However, the group's affiliation with al-Qaida raises questions over whether it has longer-term ambitions to refocus on the global jihad.

  • Moderate, mainstream secular rebels will struggle to regain position in the north without a substantial increase in US backing.
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