Monday, May 4, 2015
On March 31, COSATU expelled former Secretary-General Zwelinzima Vavi -- ostensibly for "misconduct". The move exposes deep rifts within the labour movement, which make an easy reconciliation highly unlikely.
- The official opposition Democratic Alliance's leadership race could exacerbate factionalism, weakening it ahead of 2016 municipal polls.
- Gold mining firms' inability to meet the National Union of Mineworkers' 75% pay hike demand is likely to result in a strike.
- Manufacturers are likely to refrain from hiring -- at least until uncertainties over union rivalries and access to US markets are resolved.