Monday, March 9, 2015
The likelihood of a housing market crash in New Zealand.
On March 1, average house prices in Auckland, New Zealand's largest city, reached an all-time high of 764,424 New Zealand dollars (564,420 dollars) -- an increase of 1.9% from January 2015. There are considerable fears that the New Zealand housing market, as with its Australian counterpart, could be in a bubble at risk of bursting.
- High property values will detract from New Zealand's appeal as a destination for entrepreneurs.
- Further 'currency wars' may drive investment in the relative safe holdings of New Zealand property.
- Expectations of a rate hike in Q4 may be too relaxed if property values continue to rise.
- Forecast GDP growth of 3.0% in 2015 will be revised downward if China faces a greater slowdown than at present.